Methodological support of economic forecast (in the context of hypothesis of stability and regularity development of phenomena in the temporal space)

  • А. Т. Опря
Keywords: forecast, time series, trend, tendency stability hypothesis, economic phenomena, extrapolation, correlation-regression modeling

Abstract

In the article methodological approaches are considered
at prognostication of economic indicators taking into
account the tendencies of their motion in temporal space
of the past coming from hypothetical conception of
regularity development of phenomena in the temporal
space in the future. Generally speaking about
extrapolation of temporal rows on the base of correlationregressive
design by the choice of the scientifically
grounded line of trend style, as to the mathematical and
analytical function which depends on quality of
prognosis. Methodical approaches are illustrated the
examples of specific calculations.

Published
2012-03-29
How to Cite
Опря, А. Т. (2012). Methodological support of economic forecast (in the context of hypothesis of stability and regularity development of phenomena in the temporal space). Scientific Progress & Innovations, (1), 201-207. https://doi.org/10.31210/visnyk2012.01.50
Section
Methods and methodology